Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.065141 0.076954 0.090181 0.106072 0.124631 0.145605 0.171092
2025-05-18 0.048534 0.064265 0.083850 0.109952 0.143754 0.185971 0.242622
2025-05-25 0.036356 0.052647 0.074676 0.106494 0.151102 0.211227 0.298205
2025-06-01 0.029384 0.045831 0.069644 0.106386 0.161350 0.240160 0.361294
2025-06-08 0.024083 0.040094 0.064704 0.104924 0.168564 0.264809 0.420645
2025-06-15 0.020952 0.036961 0.062907 0.107514 0.181661 0.299139 0.498167
2025-06-22 0.017781 0.033111 0.059211 0.106245 0.188069 0.323381 0.562346
2025-06-29 0.015015 0.029422 0.055114 0.103499 0.191322 0.342451 0.619818
2025-07-06 0.012680 0.026081 0.051051 0.100073 0.192681 0.358104 0.672828
2025-07-13 0.011453 0.024625 0.050172 0.102265 0.204309 0.392841 0.763370
2025-07-20 0.010235 0.022970 0.048640 0.102923 0.213012 0.423063 0.848842
2025-07-27 0.009180 0.021466 0.047167 0.103438 0.221393 0.453446 0.937805
2025-08-03 0.008321 0.020272 0.046206 0.104980 0.232275 0.490365 1.044816
2025-08-10 0.007730 0.019585 0.046233 0.108643 0.248075 0.538975 1.181179
2025-08-17 0.006691 0.017660 0.043231 0.105190 0.248126 0.555240 1.252491
2025-08-24 0.006017 0.016503 0.041800 0.105077 0.255490 0.587646 1.361628
2025-08-31 0.005350 0.015242 0.039924 0.103631 0.259576 0.613310 1.458791
2025-09-07 0.004982 0.014702 0.039721 0.106190 0.273350 0.661965 1.612680
2025-09-14 0.004464 0.013657 0.038088 0.104936 0.277738 0.689636 1.721386
2025-09-21 0.003944 0.012509 0.036007 0.102222 0.278128 0.707947 1.810033
2025-09-28 0.003461 0.011379 0.033798 0.098837 0.276343 0.720791 1.886868
2025-10-05 0.003242 0.011010 0.033636 0.101003 0.289349 0.771308 2.061909
2025-10-12 0.002991 0.010490 0.032965 0.101654 0.298374 0.812810 2.218721